Will one side dangle a Regional Councillor carrot to persuade a council member to switch sides and support an appointment for Mayor or will it be a by-election?

Special Council Meeting Wednesday September 29 at 9:30am View Agenda Here and Livestream Here
The discussion continues by Council on options to fill the seat left vacant when Mayor Barrow retired. The discussion will also now include direction on the appointment of an Alternate Regional Councillor during the vacancy in the Office of Mayor.
Under Section 263(5) of the Municipal Act, 2001, within 60 days of having declared the Office
of the Mayor vacant, or by November 21, 2021, Council is required to:
appoint a qualified person to fill the vacancy under; or
pass a by-law requiring a By-election be held to fill the vacancy.
The agenda includes two reports:
Options to fill the Vacancy in the Office of Mayor
To summarize Council’s options to fill the vacancy in the Office of Mayor and to seek direction on the appointment of an Alternate Regional Councillor during the vacancy in the Office of Mayor.
Options include:
Option 1 – By-election
Option 2 – Appoint a current Member of Council to fill the Vacancy
Option 3 – Appoint a qualified individual to fill the vacancy
Option 4 – Defer Decision on Filling the Vacancy
Regional Representation during Vacancy
Council can choose to appoint a current Ward Councillor as an alternate Member of Regional Council until such time as the vacancy in the Office of the Mayor is permanently filled.
Public Consultation Options for Vacancy in the Office of Mayor
At the September 22, 2021 meeting of Council, staff were directed to bring forward
options and costs for consulting the public regarding options for filling the vacancy in the
Office of the Mayor
Options include:
Option 1 – Online Survey: No additional cost
Option 2 – Live-call Telephone Survey: $8,000-$10,000
Option 3 – Automated Telephone Survey: $2,000
Note many residents have already responded directly to Council via email and surveys and overwhelmingly support a by-election.